Are AI labs pelicanmaxxing?
TL;DR Highlight
1,008 SVGs over a 48-cell animal×vehicle grid show no pelican-on-bicycle-specific training.
Who Should Read
An LLM API developer who picks models based on informal benchmark results shown at each new release
Core Mechanics
- A 48-cell grid checks whether pelicans stand out
- 8 animals × 6 vehicles gives 48 prompts, and pelican+bicycle is just one cell.
- Seven models drew 3 samples per prompt for 1,008 SVGs, and an LLM judge scored them 1-5.
- Neither pelicans nor bicycles ranked high
- Pelican placed 6th of 8 animals, behind cat, whale, raccoon, heron and antelope.
- Bicycle placed 5th of 6 vehicles, and pelican+bicycle ranked 42nd of 48 combinations.
- Adjusting for difficulty shows no special boost
- A regression absorbing per-combination difficulty gave per-lab pelican effects of -0.11 to +0.14 points, smallest p = 0.25.
- Only Gemini 3.5 Flash's bicycle effect was significant (p=0.022), which is about what chance gives over 21 tests and fails the Bonferroni threshold (0.05/21 ≈ 0.002).
- 21/21 right-facing pelican bicycles isn't unusual
- 60% of all 1,008 images face right, including 81% for bicycles and 78% for pelicans.
- Antelope+scooter and pelican+scooter hit 20/21 and heron+bicycle 19/21.
Community Reactions
- Right-facing bikes come from photo conventions, one commenter says
- The drivetrain is on the right side, so bike sales photos are shot from the right, and training data likely reflects that.
- Another observed that bikes always face right and riders' legs sit only on the right, suggesting weak structural understanding.
- A counterargument says the tables do show training traces
- One commenter argues averaging 100% right-facing into a 60% overall figure is statistically unsound.
- They also say a single-model judge without a clear rubric makes the method unreliable.
- Otter-on-a-plane looks specifically trained, one commenter notes
- GLM 5.2 and DeepSeek V4 put animals standing on top of planes, except otters, which sit in seats.
- The commenter links this to Ethan Mollick's 'Otter On A Plane Using WiFi' benchmark.
- Labs may be strengthening SVG generally, one commenter suggests
- They guess labs overtrain on an SVG RL environment (a reinforcement-learning training setup).
- They cite the Gemini 3.1 Pro announcement, where only animated SVG improved a lot.
How to Apply
- Build a mini grid benchmark for your service
- Today, vary your frequent prompt along 3-4 topics and 3-4 conditions to get a grid such as 3×4=12.
- Run each candidate model 3 times and check whether one cell is unusually good.
- Validate with variant prompts instead of famous examples
- When choosing a model, run 10 or more variants of the same format, not just one popular example.
- Suspect overfitting if the famous example scores far above the variant average.
- Split LLM judge scores by criterion
- Score subject, tool and action coherence separately 1-5 in the grading prompt and average them.
- Use two judge models and score the same image twice to check consistency.
Try It
# Paste into Claude or ChatGPT (simplified version of the article's method: grid benchmark design)
My service's core task is {{task description}}. Design a grid evaluation to check whether a model was tuned only to a famous example for this task.
Conditions:
1. Propose two axes. One has 6-8 values of {{axis 1: e.g. topic}}, the other 4-6 values of {{axis 2: e.g. format}}. Mix values similar to the famous example, easy ones, hard ones, and completely different ones.
2. Write a prompt for each combination using the same sentence template.
3. Give a 1-5 rubric split into 3 criteria, with a one-line scoring rule for each.
4. Explain step by step how to judge whether the famous combination scores above average after adjusting for difficulty.
Next step: run the prompts 3 times per model, paste the results as a table, and ask for analysis.Terminology
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Related Resources
- https://dylancastillo.co/posts/pelicanmaxxing.html
- https://simonwillison.net/2025/Nov/13/training-for-pelicans-...
- https://www.oneusefulthing.org/p/the-recent-history-of-ai-in...
- https://www.modelbias.ai/pelican-on-a-bicycle-test
- https://playcode.io/blog/macbook-svg-benchmark
- https://github.com/dylanjcastillo/blog/tree/main/_extras/pel...